ʻO Bitcoin Cycles: Kumu

No ka hoʻomaka ʻana, he mea nui ia e hoʻomaopopo ʻoiai ʻo Bitcoin kahi kālā decentralized kū hoʻokahi, e hana mau ana ia ma muli o ʻelua mau kumu waiwai waiwai: ka lako a me ke koi. E like me nā waiwai kūʻai ʻē aʻe e like me ke gula, nā kumulāʻau blue-chip, a me nā palapala hoʻopaʻa aupuni, ʻo ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka lako e hoʻonui i ka noi a hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai. ʻO ka mea ʻē aʻe, ʻo ka emi ʻana o ka noi e alakaʻi i ka oversupply a me ka hāʻule o ka waiwai. Pehea e pili ai kēia mau loina i nā pōkā Bitcoin?

Ua ʻike ʻia nā pōʻai Bitcoin ma kahi o hoʻokahi manawa i kēlā me kēia ʻehā makahiki. Hiki ke hoʻokaʻawale ʻia kēlā me kēia pōʻai i ʻehā mau ʻāpana like ʻole. He mea kōkua ke nānā i kēlā me kēia māhele ma mua o ka luʻu ʻana i ka manaʻo.

ʻO ka pae hōʻiliʻili: ʻO kēia kaʻina mua o kahi pōʻai Bitcoin ʻike i nā mea kālepa e kūʻai ana i nā hōʻailona ma ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa a paʻa iā lākou i ka kali ʻana i kahi holo bipi e hiki mai ana. ʻO ka mea nui, ke nānā nei kēia mau mea kālepa i ke kūʻai ʻana i nā kumukūʻai haʻahaʻa a kūʻai aku i nā mea kiʻekiʻe.
ʻO ka Mark-Up Phase: Ke kūʻai ʻia a hōʻiliʻili ʻia nā hōʻailona BTC hou aʻe, hoʻomaka ko lākou kumukūʻai e piʻi nui. ʻIke ʻia kēia māhele ʻo ka pae mark-up. ʻO ka nui o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai e hilinaʻi ʻia ma ka noi mai nā mea hoʻopukapuka ʻoihana a me nā mea kālepa pākahi. Ua ʻae ka poʻe loiloi e hōʻike ana kēia māhele i ka "peak" o kekahi pōʻai Bitcoin.
ʻO ka māhele hoʻolaha: Hiki ke wehewehe ʻia kēia māhele "kūʻai aku i ka manawa kūpono." ʻO nā mea kālā i kūʻai aku i ka BTC i ka wā o ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana a me ka hōʻailona hōʻailona ʻike pinepine i nā waiwai nui, e koi ana iā lākou e kūʻai aku. ʻO ka hopena, ʻike ka mākeke i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hoʻolako ʻana o Bitcoin, e alakaʻi ana i ka emi ʻana o ka noi a me ka hāʻule o ke kumukūʻai. Hiki i kekahi ke wehewehe i kēia māhele he "hoʻoponopono."
ʻO ka Mark-Down Phase: I kēia māhele hope, hoʻololi ka mākeke i ka iho i lalo mai ka māhele mahele. Hiki i kēia ke alakaʻi i kahi hāʻule nui a me ka nui o nā kumukūʻai Bitcoin. Me ka liʻiliʻi o nā mea kūʻai ma ka mākeke i kēia manawa, hiki i ka mākeke ke lilo i stagnant, me ka liʻiliʻi o ka neʻe. Hiki ke hoʻomau ka pae mark-down no kekahi mau mahina a hiki i ka hoʻihoʻi ʻia ʻana o ke koena hoʻolako-koi.

He aha ka manaʻo o Bitcoin "Halving"?

Ma hope aʻe, pono mākou e hoʻoponopono i kekahi mea koʻikoʻi e pili ana i nā pōʻai Bitcoin: "halving." Akā he aha ke ʻano o ka hapalua?

Ke hana nei ʻo Bitcoin ma kahi pūnaewele decentralized, a ʻo nā "ledgers" kikohoʻe e hahai i nā kālepa. Ke hana ʻia kēia mau hana, hana ʻia nā hōʻailona hou. ʻO kēia kaʻina hana i kapa ʻia ʻo Bitcoin mining. Ma ke kumumanaʻo, e ulu mau ana ka lako Bitcoin e like me ka helu o nā hōʻailona hou i hana ʻia ma o ka mining.

Hiki i kēia ke alakaʻi i ka oversupply a, no laila, he hōʻemi nui i ka waiwai o Bitcoin. No ka paleʻana i kēlā hopena, ua hoʻokomoʻo Bitcoin i ka hana halving.

Hoʻemi ka hapalua o nā hanana i nā uku mining Bitcoin ma ka 50 pakeneka, e hana ana i kēlā me kēia 210,000 poloka. ʻO ka "poloka" e pili ana i kahi hoʻonohonoho o nā kālepa Bitcoin i hana ʻia ma kahi manawa i wehewehe ʻia. Hana ʻia nā hanana halving ma kahi o kēlā me kēia ʻehā makahiki, me nā hapa mua i hana ʻia ma 2009, 2012, 2016, a me 2020.

No laila, i ka manawa hea ka hana halving e hiki mai ana? Hoʻonohonoho ʻia ka hapalua aʻe no ʻApelila 26, 2024, e hana ʻia ke hana ʻia ka poloka 840,000.

Ma hope koke o ka Halving: He aha ka mea e manaʻo ai?

Ma muli o ko mākou ʻike e pili ana i ka pili ʻana o ka halving i ka pōʻai ʻehā makahiki o Bitcoin, he mea kūpono ke manaʻo ʻaʻole e ʻike ʻia ka manawa a hiki i ʻApelila 2024 i nā loli kumu kūʻai nui - me ka manaʻo ʻaʻole i manaʻo ʻia nā mea o waho. Hiki i kekahi o kēia mau kumu ke komo:

• Hoʻopili aupuni i ka māhele crypto
• Nā ʻikepili waiwai i manaʻo ʻole ʻia mai nā ʻāina a i ʻole nā ​​ʻāpana
• ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku paneʻe e nā panakō waena
• Ka hoʻonui

Inā ʻaʻole e kū mai kēia mau mea a i ʻole nā ​​​​mea like, nui nā mea hoʻopukapuka e lawe i kahi ala kali-a-ʻike, me ka ʻike ʻana aia mākou i ka pae mark-down a nāwaliwali ke koi. Hiki i nā mea ʻē aʻe ke paʻa i kā lākou waiwai, me ka manaʻo e piʻi koke ke kumukūʻai o Bitcoin ma hope o ka hanana halving.

Ka hopena o nā pōʻai Bitcoin ma nā Cryptocurrencies ʻē aʻe

A hiki i kēia manawa, ua mālama mākou i nā pōʻai Bitcoin ma ke ʻano he ʻōnaehana pani, e maʻalahi ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka dinamika kūloko. Akā ke hoʻololi nei kēia mau pōʻai i nā kumukūʻai o nā kālā crypto ʻē aʻe? Lawe kēia iā mākou i ka manaʻo o ka "crypto correlation."

Hōʻike ka correlation Crypto i ka hopena o ka neʻe ʻana o kahi hōʻailona i nā mea ʻē aʻe. Ma ka ʻōlelo maʻamau, hoʻopili maikaʻi ʻia nā cryptocurcies, ʻo ia hoʻi, makemake lākou e hahai i nā ʻano kumukūʻai like. ʻAʻole like kēia me nā waiwai kūʻai ʻē aʻe, e like me nā metala makamae. Ke piʻi aʻe ke kumukūʻai o ke gula, ʻo nā metala ʻē aʻe e like me ke kālā, ke keleawe, a me ka palladium e hahai pinepine i ka like.

No laila, no ke aha e hoʻololi ai nā pōʻai Bitcoin i nā kālā crypto ʻē aʻe e like me Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), a me Dogecoin (DOGE)? ʻO ke kī nui e hoʻohana pinepine ai nā mea hoʻopukapuka iā Bitcoin e ana i ka manaʻo holoʻokoʻa o ka mākeke. ʻO nā neʻe kumukūʻai maikaʻi ʻo Bitcoin e hōʻike ana i kahi mākaʻikaʻi mākeke ikaika, ʻo ia ka mea e koi ai i ka hana kūʻai. ʻO ia ke kumu i kapa pinepine ʻia ai ʻo Bitcoin ka "barometer" o ka kaiaola crypto.

ʻAʻole i hoʻopilikia ʻia nā Cryptocurrencies e nā Bitcoin Price Movements?

I kēia manawa, e noʻonoʻo paha kekahi poʻe heluhelu inā aia kekahi mau hōʻailona e waiho ʻole ʻia e ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o Bitcoin. Aia kekahi mau cryptocurcies hiki ke hana ma ke ʻano he mau pā e kūʻē i nā pōʻai o Bitcoin a me ka neʻe kumu kūʻai maʻamau?

Hiki paha iā ʻoe ke kahaha i ka ʻike ʻana ʻoi aku ma mua o 5,000 cryptocurrencies, he kakaikahi wale nō ka mea e hoʻokele kūʻokoʻa i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke maʻamau. Aia kēia mau mea:

• Link
• 'Anom
• Tezos (XTZ)

He aha ka mea ʻokoʻa kēia mau waiwai? ʻOiai aia nō ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa e pili ana i kēia mea, ʻoi aku paha ma muli o ko lākou haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i hoʻohālikelike ʻia i nā waiwai i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i nā blockchains nui a paʻa.

E noʻonoʻo e like me ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o ka loaʻa ʻana o nā waiwai i loko o kahi hui multinational nui, i ʻike ʻia i nā pilikia mākeke like ʻole, a me ka paʻa ʻana i nā ʻāpana i kahi IPO liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi i loko o kahi māhele niche.

Manaʻo i ka hopena o ka hanana Halving e hiki mai ana

No ka hoʻopili ʻana, e kamaʻilio mākou i ka nīnau hope: Pehea ka hopena o ke kumukūʻai o Bitcoin i ka hanana halving e hiki mai ana?

Manaʻo ka hapa nui o nā poʻe loea e pili ana i ka nānā ʻana i ka wā lōʻihi. Ua piʻi ka kaulana o Bitcoin mai ka pōʻai 2016-2020, a ʻo nā mea kālepa maʻamau i kēia manawa ke hoʻomaopopo nei i kāna mechanics. Hōʻike kēia mau mea i ka nui o ka poʻe kālepa ikaika i ka wā mua (accumulation) o ka pōʻai e hiki mai ana. Me ka hoʻemi ʻana o ka lako a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka noi, ʻaʻohe kānalua e komo hou nā kumukūʻai Bitcoin i kahi pae bullish.

Eia naʻe, nui nā mea hiki ke hana ma waena o kēia manawa a i kēlā manawa. ʻO kekahi hopohopo ka hiki ke hoʻoponopono i ka mākeke e hiki mai ana e ka US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Inā hoʻokau ʻia ia mau lula, hiki ke neʻe ka nui o nā kahua crypto e pili ana i ka US ma waho, e hoʻopilikia paha i ke kumukūʻai o Bitcoin a me nā hōʻailona ʻē aʻe.

Eia nō naʻe, e hoʻomau ka hui ma CryptoChipy i nā mea hou a me nā wānana kumukūʻai e kōkua i ka poʻe heluhelu e hoʻokele i nā pōʻai ʻehā makahiki o Bitcoin.